CrimeMetric

Crime in Soldotna, Alaska

Major crime in Soldotna is 28% below the U.S. rate per resident: 15% lower for persons crimes and 31% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
72
28% below the U.S. rate
55% below the Alaska rate
down 7.0% in a year
Persons crimes
85
15% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Alaska rate
down 2.7% in a year
Property crimes
69
31% below the U.S. rate
52% below the Alaska rate
down 8.1% in a year
Social disorder
59
42% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Alaska rate
down 3.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Soldotna

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 20% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Soldotna for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Soldotna

Soldotna is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 79; the middle half of residents live where it is between 19 and 79.

Map of Soldotna, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5036.2%
  • 50–10041.5%
  • 100–20022.2%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes and on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm74
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am69
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm72
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am73
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.0% in a year; across Alaska it rose 4.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.0%AK +4.5%-9.5%AK -11.9%
Persons crimes-2.7%AK 0.0%+3.1%AK -0.8%
Property crimes-8.1%AK +6.2%-13.0%AK -15.9%
Social disorder-3.9%AK +3.3%-1.2%AK -5.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Alaska as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Soldotna against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

664 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Soldotna; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Wadena, MN4,69573
Soldotna, AK4,70172
Flora, IL4,69952
Jasper, GA4,70929

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Soldotna has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Kalifornsky (4 mi), is 28% below Soldotna's rate.

Anchorage65 mi277
Big Lake82 mi91
Homer60 mi89
Kenai7 mi75
Soldotna72
Nikiski15 mi58

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Soldotna

What are the most common crimes in Soldotna?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 18 a year), other larceny (about 13 a year) and aggravated assault (about 10 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 20% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Soldotna's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Soldotna has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,701. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Soldotna, Alaska." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ak/soldotna

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100