CrimeMetric

Crime in Grand Bay, Alabama

Major crime in Grand Bay is 57% below the U.S. rate per resident: 36% lower for persons crimes and 62% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 8.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
43
57% below the U.S. rate
57% below the Alabama rate
up 8.9% in a year
Persons crimes
65
36% below the U.S. rate
40% below the Alabama rate
up 7.7% in a year
Property crimes
38
62% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Alabama rate
up 9.4% in a year
Social disorder
127
27% above the U.S. rate
6% below the Alabama rate
up 12.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Grand Bay

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 3.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Grand Bay for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Grand Bay

Grand Bay is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 34; the middle half of residents live where it is between 33 and 66.

Map of Grand Bay, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5070.9%
  • 50–10029.1%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm3
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am98
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm3
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am78
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 8.9% in a year; across Alabama it fell 8.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+8.9%AL -8.3%-13.0%AL -12.4%
Persons crimes+7.7%AL -5.4%-0.6%AL -0.5%
Property crimes+9.4%AL -8.9%-17.6%AL -15.2%
Social disorder+12.6%AL -5.4%-10.3%AL -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Alabama as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Grand Bay against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,188 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Grand Bay; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Dumas, AR3,797136
Campbell, FL3,799101
Grand Bay, AL3,79943

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Grand Bay has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bayou La Batre (7 mi), is 4.8 times Grand Bay's rate.

Mobile19 mi187
Gautier, MS19 mi108
Theodore10 mi72
Grand Bay43

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Grand Bay

What are the most common crimes in Grand Bay?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 9 a year), aggravated assault (about 6 a year) and burglary (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 3.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Grand Bay's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Grand Bay has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 29.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,799. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Grand Bay, Alabama." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/al/grand-bay

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100