CrimeMetric

Crime in Bull Shoals, Arkansas

Major crime in Bull Shoals is 58% below the U.S. rate per resident: 43% lower for persons crimes and 62% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
42
58% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Arkansas rate
down 8.0% in a year
Persons crimes
57
43% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Arkansas rate
down 4.5% in a year
Property crimes
39
62% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Arkansas rate
down 9.1% in a year
Social disorder
65
35% below the U.S. rate
55% below the Arkansas rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Bull Shoals

Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 23% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Bull Shoals for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Bull Shoals

Bull Shoals is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 48; the middle half of residents live where it is between 25 and 48.

Map of Bull Shoals, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5080.1%
  • 50–10019.9%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm51
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm51
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am34
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.0% in a year; across Arkansas it fell 5.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.0%AR -5.6%-14.8%AR -11.6%
Persons crimes-4.5%AR -1.0%0.0%AR +0.2%
Property crimes-9.1%AR -7.0%-19.6%AR -15.6%
Social disorder-6.4%AR -3.8%-8.5%AR -5.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arkansas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Bull Shoals against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,212 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bull Shoals; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Maiden, NC2,35163
Bull Shoals, AR2,35242

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Bull Shoals has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mountain Home (12 mi), is 2.8 times Bull Shoals's rate.

Branson, MO42 mi187
Harrison31 mi83
Berryville54 mi74
Bull Shoals42

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Bull Shoals

What are the most common crimes in Bull Shoals?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 7 a year), burglary (about 3 a year) and aggravated assault (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 23% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bull Shoals's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Bull Shoals has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 2,352. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bull Shoals, Arkansas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ar/bull-shoals

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100