CrimeMetric

Crime in Hope, Arkansas

Major crime in Hope is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.8 times for persons crimes and 40% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
35% above the Arkansas rate
down 7.4% in a year
Persons crimes
280
2.8 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Arkansas rate
down 3.5% in a year
Property crimes
140
40% above the U.S. rate
25% above the Arkansas rate
down 9.0% in a year
Social disorder
165
1.7 times the U.S. rate
14% above the Arkansas rate
down 5.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Hope

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 3.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Hope for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Hope

The middle half of Hope residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 67 and 269; the typical (median) resident's is 71. The citywide figure (166) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Hope, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10050.5%
  • 100–20019.1%
  • 200–40030.4%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm172
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am147
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm188
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am166
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.4% in a year; across Arkansas it fell 5.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.4%AR -5.6%-16.9%AR -11.6%
Persons crimes-3.5%AR -1.0%-5.6%AR +0.2%
Property crimes-9.0%AR -7.0%-22.0%AR -15.6%
Social disorder-5.8%AR -3.8%-11.9%AR -5.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arkansas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Hope against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

204 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Hope; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Hope has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Nashville (25 mi), is 14% below Hope's rate.

Camden42 mi190
Magnolia33 mi190
Texarkana29 mi182
Hope166
Nashville25 mi143
Ashdown30 mi133
Hooks, TX42 mi68

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Hope

What are the most common crimes in Hope?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 80 a year), aggravated assault (about 66 a year) and burglary (about 32 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 3.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Hope's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Hope's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 20.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 8,565. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Hope, Arkansas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ar/hope

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100