Crime in Hot Springs, Arkansas
Major crime in Hot Springs is 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident: 45% higher for persons crimes and 2.2 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Other larceny stands out most, at 3.8 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Hot Springs for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Hot Springs
The middle half of Hot Springs residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 110 and 255; the typical (median) resident's is 162. The citywide figure (203) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–500.0%
- 50–10021.9%
- 100–20044.7%
- 200–40022.0%
- 400+11.3%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 9.6% in a year; across Arkansas it fell 5.6%
Change in expected crimes, with Arkansas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Hot Springs against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
43 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Hot Springs; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Hot Springs has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Piney (5 mi), is 29% below Hot Springs's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Hot Springs
What are the most common crimes in Hot Springs?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 758 a year), burglary (about 181 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 131 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 3.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Hot Springs's figures add up its 41 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Hot Springs has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 53.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 40,306. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Hot Springs, Arkansas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ar/hot-springs
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Piney5 mi143
- Rockwell5 mi89
- Hot Springs Village14 mi57
- Malvern17 mi157
- Haskell24 mi57
- Arkadelphia25 mi87
- Benton29 mi129
- Bryant33 mi118