CrimeMetric

Crime in Desert Hills, Arizona

Major crime in Desert Hills is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 10% lower for persons crimes and 1.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
164
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the Arizona rate
down 9.1% in a year
Persons crimes
90
10% below the U.S. rate
27% below the Arizona rate
up 10.0% in a year
Property crimes
181
1.8 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Arizona rate
down 10.9% in a year
Social disorder
153
1.5 times the U.S. rate
31% above the Arizona rate
down 1.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Desert Hills

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Desert Hills for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Desert Hills

Desert Hills is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 55; the middle half of residents live where it is between 39 and 90.

Map of Desert Hills, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5034.3%
  • 50–10047.9%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+17.8%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm186
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am134
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm207
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am126
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.1% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.1%AZ -3.2%-11.1%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes+10.0%AZ +2.1%+2.4%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-10.9%AZ -4.5%-12.6%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-1.3%AZ -0.6%-3.4%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Desert Hills against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

145 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Desert Hills; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Desert Hills, AZ3,645164
Eastover, NC3,643128
Otsego, MI3,65247
Fulton, IL3,65343

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Desert Hills has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lake Havasu City (8 mi), is 56% below Desert Hills's rate.

Kingman48 mi188
Desert Hills164
Needles, CA23 mi157
Laughlin, NV41 mi119

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Desert Hills

What are the most common crimes in Desert Hills?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 44 a year), other larceny (about 29 a year) and burglary (about 10 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Desert Hills's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Desert Hills has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 17.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,645. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Desert Hills, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/desert-hills

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100