CrimeMetric

Crime in San Tan Valley, Arizona

Major crime in San Tan Valley is 74% below the U.S. rate per resident: 61% lower for persons crimes and 76% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
27
74% below the U.S. rate
75% below the Arizona rate
down 16.3% in a year
Persons crimes
39
61% below the U.S. rate
69% below the Arizona rate
down 4.4% in a year
Property crimes
24
76% below the U.S. rate
77% below the Arizona rate
down 19.9% in a year
Social disorder
38
63% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Arizona rate
down 11.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in San Tan Valley is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in San Tan Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across San Tan Valley

The middle half of San Tan Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 17 and 30; the typical (median) resident's is 20. The citywide figure (27) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of San Tan Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5090.3%
  • 50–1007.1%
  • 100–2002.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm22
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am35
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm20
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.3% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.3%AZ -3.2%+2.1%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes-4.4%AZ +2.1%+15.2%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-19.9%AZ -4.5%-2.7%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-11.5%AZ -0.6%+7.5%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

San Tan Valley against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

268 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Tan Valley; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Norman, OK131,997134
Abilene, TX135,029122
Columbia, MO133,154112
Clovis, CA132,75785
Pearland, TX135,12956
San Tan Valley, AZ133,17627

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

San Tan Valley has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Queen Creek (5 mi), is 1.6 times San Tan Valley's rate.

Coolidge15 mi100
Chandler18 mi72
Gilbert14 mi57
Sun Lakes18 mi31
San Tan Valley27
Florence14 mi26

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in San Tan Valley

What are the most common crimes in San Tan Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 202 a year), aggravated assault (about 145 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 73 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 52% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Tan Valley's figures add up its 42 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • San Tan Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 18.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 133,176. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Tan Valley, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/san-tan-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100