CrimeMetric

Crime in Carmel Valley Village, California

Major crime in Carmel Valley Village is 57% below the U.S. rate per resident: 35% lower for persons crimes and 62% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
43
57% below the U.S. rate
64% below the California rate
down 16.7% in a year
Persons crimes
66
35% below the U.S. rate
51% below the California rate
down 17.5% in a year
Property crimes
38
62% below the U.S. rate
67% below the California rate
down 16.4% in a year
Social disorder
58
42% below the U.S. rate
43% below the California rate
down 19.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Carmel Valley Village

Crime by type

Every crime type in Carmel Valley Village is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Carmel Valley Village for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Carmel Valley Village

Carmel Valley Village is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 35; the middle half of residents live where it is between 35 and 60.

Map of Carmel Valley Village, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5057.8%
  • 50–10042.2%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm38
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am38
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm55
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am57
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.7% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.7%CA -7.4%-15.8%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-17.5%CA -3.5%-5.6%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-16.4%CA -8.4%-19.7%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-19.8%CA -4.9%-10.5%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Carmel Valley Village against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,550 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carmel Valley Village; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Hamlet, NC5,358216
Carmel Valley Village, CA5,36143

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Carmel Valley Village has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Seaside (13 mi), is 2.3 times Carmel Valley Village's rate.

Salinas17 mi120
Seaside13 mi101
Monterey14 mi90
Marina16 mi88
Carmel Valley Village43
Gonzales16 mi42

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Carmel Valley Village

What are the most common crimes in Carmel Valley Village?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 14 a year), aggravated assault (about 9 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., trespassing stands out most: 23% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carmel Valley Village's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Carmel Valley Village has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,361. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carmel Valley Village, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/carmel-valley-village

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100