CrimeMetric

Crime in Carson, California

Major crime in Carson is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 32% higher for persons crimes and 1.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
38% above the California rate
down 10.0% in a year
Persons crimes
132
32% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 6.5% in a year
Property crimes
173
1.7 times the U.S. rate
48% above the California rate
down 10.6% in a year
Social disorder
130
30% above the U.S. rate
28% above the California rate
down 6.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 3.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Carson for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Carson

The middle half of Carson residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 68 and 160; the typical (median) resident's is 91. The citywide figure (166) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Carson, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–507.7%
  • 50–10051.9%
  • 100–20021.9%
  • 200–40016.3%
  • 400+2.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm146
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am193
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm162
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am166
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.0%CA -7.4%-18.9%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-6.5%CA -3.5%-13.8%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-10.6%CA -8.4%-19.8%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-6.7%CA -4.9%-14.2%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Carson against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

68 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carson; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Medford, OR89,718237
Carson, CA89,993166
Santa Fe, NM89,634163
Gastonia, NC89,950161
Lawrence, MA89,91665
Troy, MI89,66063
Danbury, CT90,07143

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Carson has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, West Carson (2 mi), is 14% below Carson's rate.

Gardena5 mi213
Compton5 mi199
Long Beach6 mi178
Carson166
Torrance5 mi156
Lomita4 mi121

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Carson

What are the most common crimes in Carson?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are motor vehicle theft (about 491 a year), theft from vehicle (about 481 a year) and other larceny (about 457 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 3.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carson's figures add up its 59 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Carson's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 40.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 89,993. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carson, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/carson

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100