CrimeMetric

Crime in El Centro, California

Major crime in El Centro is 48% below the U.S. rate per resident: 7% lower for persons crimes and 58% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
52
48% below the U.S. rate
57% below the California rate
down 11.9% in a year
Persons crimes
93
7% below the U.S. rate
30% below the California rate
up 10.1% in a year
Property crimes
42
58% below the U.S. rate
64% below the California rate
down 19.7% in a year
Social disorder
122
22% above the U.S. rate
20% above the California rate
down 1.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in El Centro

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in El Centro for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across El Centro

The middle half of El Centro residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 22 and 69; the typical (median) resident's is 45.

Map of El Centro, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5066.2%
  • 50–10029.4%
  • 100–2001.2%
  • 200–4003.2%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm51
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm46
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am60
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 11.9% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-11.9%CA -7.4%-11.7%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+10.1%CA -3.5%-3.4%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-19.7%CA -8.4%-15.7%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-1.9%CA -4.9%-10.3%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

El Centro against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

701 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than El Centro; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Littleton, CO43,995133
Tooele, UT44,00782
El Centro, CA43,80152
Beverly, MA43,74332

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

El Centro has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Imperial (4 mi), is 63% below El Centro's rate.

Brawley13 mi64
Calexico9 mi59
El Centro52
Heber4 mi38
Holtville11 mi31
Calipatria26 mi26
Imperial4 mi19

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in El Centro

What are the most common crimes in El Centro?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 100 a year), other larceny (about 68 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 68 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. El Centro's figures add up its 27 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • El Centro's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 55.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 43,801. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in El Centro, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/el-centro

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100