CrimeMetric

Crime in Lake Mathews, California

Major crime in Lake Mathews is 15% above the U.S. rate per resident: 25% higher for persons crimes and 12% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 39.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
115
15% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
up 39.8% in a year
Persons crimes
125
25% above the U.S. rate
6% below the California rate
up 60.7% in a year
Property crimes
112
12% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
up 35.5% in a year
Social disorder
154
1.5 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the California rate
up 55.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lake Mathews

Crime by type

Weapons violations and theft from vehicle stand out most, at about 2.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lake Mathews for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Lake Mathews

Lake Mathews is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 108; the middle half of residents live where it is between 99 and 146.

Map of Lake Mathews, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10033.9%
  • 100–20066.1%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm101
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am134
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm115
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am113
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 39.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+39.8%CA -7.4%-8.5%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+60.7%CA -3.5%+5.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+35.5%CA -8.4%-12.0%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+55.0%CA -4.9%-3.2%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lake Mathews against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

431 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Mathews; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Ahoskie, NC5,259178
Lake Mathews, CA5,262115
Benson, AZ5,25570
Morris, MN5,26964
Wahoo, NE5,25324

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lake Mathews has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Woodcrest (4 mi), is 19% below Lake Mathews's rate.

El Cerrito7 mi323
Riverside8 mi159
Lake Mathews115
Good Hope8 mi103
Woodcrest4 mi93

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lake Mathews

What are the most common crimes in Lake Mathews?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 29 a year), other larceny (about 27 a year) and aggravated assault (about 19 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Mathews's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lake Mathews has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,262. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Mathews, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/lake-mathews

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100