CrimeMetric

Crime in Lincoln, California

Major crime in Lincoln is 68% below the U.S. rate per resident: 68% lower for persons crimes and 68% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
32
68% below the U.S. rate
73% below the California rate
down 9.2% in a year
Persons crimes
32
68% below the U.S. rate
76% below the California rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
32
68% below the U.S. rate
73% below the California rate
down 10.9% in a year
Social disorder
59
41% below the U.S. rate
42% below the California rate
down 4.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lincoln

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 12% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lincoln for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lincoln

The middle half of Lincoln residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 11 and 52; the typical (median) resident's is 21. The citywide figure (32) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Lincoln, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5074.9%
  • 50–10025.1%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm34
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm31
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am31
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.2% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.2%CA -7.4%-2.1%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-0.4%CA -3.5%+10.3%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-10.9%CA -8.4%-4.8%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-4.6%CA -4.9%+1.6%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lincoln against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

525 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lincoln; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Decatur, AL60,082110
Dubuque, IA59,93789
Hoboken, NJ60,02075
Medford, MA60,10765
Lincoln, CA59,92032

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lincoln has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Rocklin (5 mi), is 1.7 times Lincoln's rate.

Antelope12 mi79
Roseville8 mi65
Rocklin5 mi56
Loomis6 mi51
Auburn12 mi49
Lincoln32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lincoln

What are the most common crimes in Lincoln?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 107 a year), shoplifting (about 80 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 54 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 12% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lincoln's figures add up its 30 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lincoln's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 12.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 59,920. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lincoln, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/lincoln

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100