CrimeMetric

Crime in Morgan Hill, California

Major crime in Morgan Hill is 10% below the U.S. rate per resident: 23% lower for persons crimes and 7% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
90
10% below the U.S. rate
25% below the California rate
down 9.5% in a year
Persons crimes
77
23% below the U.S. rate
43% below the California rate
up 8.2% in a year
Property crimes
93
7% below the U.S. rate
21% below the California rate
down 12.2% in a year
Social disorder
79
22% below the U.S. rate
23% below the California rate
up 2.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Morgan Hill

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 19% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Morgan Hill for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Morgan Hill

The middle half of Morgan Hill residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 37 and 123; the typical (median) resident's is 81.

Map of Morgan Hill, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5037.4%
  • 50–10022.8%
  • 100–20031.8%
  • 200–4007.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm93
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am90
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm95
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am75
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.5%CA -7.4%-13.5%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+8.2%CA -3.5%-4.2%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-12.2%CA -8.4%-15.1%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+2.0%CA -4.9%-9.1%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Morgan Hill against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

384 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Morgan Hill; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Wauwatosa, WI48,838136
Mishawaka, IN48,854114
Columbia, TN48,63098
Morgan Hill, CA48,67890
Lakewood, OH48,96458

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Morgan Hill has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, San Martin (4 mi), is 35% above Morgan Hill's rate.

San Jose18 mi161
San Martin4 mi121
Morgan Hill90
Gilroy9 mi86
Aptos16 mi63
Interlaken14 mi46

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Morgan Hill

What are the most common crimes in Morgan Hill?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 190 a year), shoplifting (about 184 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 115 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 19% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Morgan Hill's figures add up its 21 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Morgan Hill's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 71.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 48,678. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Morgan Hill, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/morgan-hill

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100