CrimeMetric

Crime in Rancho San Diego, California

Major crime in Rancho San Diego is 71% below the U.S. rate per resident: 57% lower for persons crimes and 74% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 1.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
29
71% below the U.S. rate
76% below the California rate
up 1.5% in a year
Persons crimes
43
57% below the U.S. rate
68% below the California rate
down 1.2% in a year
Property crimes
26
74% below the U.S. rate
77% below the California rate
up 2.5% in a year
Social disorder
46
54% below the U.S. rate
55% below the California rate
down 4.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rancho San Diego

Crime by type

Every crime type in Rancho San Diego is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rancho San Diego for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Rancho San Diego

The middle half of Rancho San Diego residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 13 and 23; the typical (median) resident's is 21. The citywide figure (29) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Rancho San Diego, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5082.9%
  • 50–10011.6%
  • 100–2005.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm27
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am32
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm28
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am33
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 1.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+1.5%CA -7.4%-14.0%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-1.2%CA -3.5%-4.1%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+2.5%CA -8.4%-17.5%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-4.5%CA -4.9%-8.0%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rancho San Diego against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,977 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rancho San Diego; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Lexington, NC21,963169
Cocoa, FL21,941155
Mukilteo, WA21,98685
Portland, TX21,95460
Selden, NY21,95445
Rancho San Diego, CA21,95929

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rancho San Diego has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Casa de Oro-Mount Helix (3 mi), is 41% above Rancho San Diego's rate.

La Mesa6 mi122
El Cajon3 mi120
Bostonia4 mi55
Jamul4 mi47
La Presa5 mi40
Rancho San Diego29

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rancho San Diego

What are the most common crimes in Rancho San Diego?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 24 a year), burglary (about 18 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 16 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 37% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rancho San Diego's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rancho San Diego's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 31.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 21,959. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rancho San Diego, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/rancho-san-diego

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100