Crime in San Carlos, California
Major crime in San Carlos is 28% below the U.S. rate per resident: 51% lower for persons crimes and 23% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 1.6 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in San Carlos for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across San Carlos
The middle half of San Carlos residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 66; the typical (median) resident's is 29. The citywide figure (72) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5062.4%
- 50–10017.7%
- 100–20014.9%
- 200–4002.4%
- 400+2.6%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 11.2% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
San Carlos against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
504 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Carlos; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
San Carlos has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Belmont (2 mi), is 12% below San Carlos's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in San Carlos
What are the most common crimes in San Carlos?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 92 a year), shoplifting (about 86 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 79 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Carlos's figures add up its 19 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- San Carlos's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 24.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 30,684. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Carlos, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/san-carlos
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Belmont2 mi64
- Redwood City2 mi101
- North Fair Oaks4 mi80
- Foster City4 mi48
- Atherton5 mi53
- San Mateo5 mi78
- Woodside5 mi45
- West Menlo Park6 mi33