Crime in San Juan Capistrano, California
Major crime in San Juan Capistrano is 60% below the U.S. rate per resident: 42% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 14.9% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 3.4 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in San Juan Capistrano for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across San Juan Capistrano
The middle half of San Juan Capistrano residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 16 and 38; the typical (median) resident's is 24. The citywide figure (41) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5090.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2004.9%
- 200–4005.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekends
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 14.9% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
San Juan Capistrano against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
815 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Juan Capistrano; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
San Juan Capistrano has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Dana Point (3 mi), is 1.6 times San Juan Capistrano's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in San Juan Capistrano
What are the most common crimes in San Juan Capistrano?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 52 a year), other larceny (about 49 a year) and shoplifting (about 39 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 3.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Juan Capistrano's figures add up its 22 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- San Juan Capistrano's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 43.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 34,944. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Juan Capistrano, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/san-juan-capistrano
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Dana Point3 mi66
- Laguna Niguel3 mi30
- Ladera Ranch4 mi48
- Rancho Mission Viejo4 mi44
- San Clemente5 mi51
- Las Flores6 mi41
- Laguna Beach6 mi67
- Aliso Viejo7 mi45