CrimeMetric

Crime in San Pablo, California

Major crime in San Pablo is 32% above the U.S. rate per resident: 20% higher for persons crimes and 34% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
132
32% above the U.S. rate
9% above the California rate
down 6.5% in a year
Persons crimes
120
20% above the U.S. rate
10% below the California rate
down 12.2% in a year
Property crimes
134
34% above the U.S. rate
14% above the California rate
down 5.3% in a year
Social disorder
209
2.1 times the U.S. rate
2.1 times the California rate
down 5.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in San Pablo

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 5.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in San Pablo for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across San Pablo

The middle half of San Pablo residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 81 and 168; the typical (median) resident's is 104. The citywide figure (132) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of San Pablo, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10046.2%
  • 100–20043.3%
  • 200–4007.9%
  • 400+2.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm133
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am130
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm139
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am123
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 6.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-6.5%CA -7.4%-14.8%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-12.2%CA -3.5%-11.6%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-5.3%CA -8.4%-15.5%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-5.9%CA -4.9%-13.5%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

San Pablo against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

178 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Pablo; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Redan, GA32,305172
San Pablo, CA32,373132
Monsey, NY32,39228

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

San Pablo has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Richmond (1 mi), is 17% above San Pablo's rate.

El Cerrito4 mi173
Richmond1 mi155
Albany6 mi140
San Pablo132
Pinole4 mi75
Hercules5 mi34

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in San Pablo

What are the most common crimes in San Pablo?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 165 a year), theft from vehicle (about 162 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 156 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 5.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Pablo's figures add up its 19 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • San Pablo's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 79.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 32,373. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Pablo, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/san-pablo

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100