CrimeMetric

Crime in Santa Paula, California

Major crime in Santa Paula is 44% below the U.S. rate per resident: 21% higher for persons crimes and 58% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
57
44% below the U.S. rate
53% below the California rate
down 10.8% in a year
Persons crimes
121
21% above the U.S. rate
10% below the California rate
up 5.4% in a year
Property crimes
42
58% below the U.S. rate
64% below the California rate
down 18.7% in a year
Social disorder
119
19% above the U.S. rate
17% above the California rate
down 7.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Santa Paula for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Santa Paula

The middle half of Santa Paula residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 27 and 73; the typical (median) resident's is 53.

Map of Santa Paula, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5049.1%
  • 50–10045.1%
  • 100–2004.6%
  • 200–4001.2%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm51
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am61
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm50
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am70
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.8%CA -7.4%-9.1%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+5.4%CA -3.5%-0.1%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-18.7%CA -8.4%-14.9%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-7.7%CA -4.9%-7.4%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Santa Paula against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

652 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Santa Paula; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Parkville, MD30,513153
Seaside, CA30,634101
Banning, CA30,58873
Santa Paula, CA30,57657
Hazleton, PA30,53340
La Presa, CA30,54640
Orcutt, CA30,66323

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Santa Paula has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Camarillo (9 mi), is 27% above Santa Paula's rate.

Oxnard13 mi99
Camarillo9 mi72
El Rio9 mi68
Santa Paula57
Fillmore10 mi48
Moorpark12 mi48
Ojai12 mi47
Mira Monte13 mi44

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Santa Paula

What are the most common crimes in Santa Paula?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 94 a year), other larceny (about 62 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 43 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Santa Paula's figures add up its 18 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Santa Paula has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 26.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 30,576. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Santa Paula, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/santa-paula

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100