Crime in Tracy, California
Major crime in Tracy is 7% below the U.S. rate per resident: 29% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.1% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 35% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Tracy for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Tracy
The middle half of Tracy residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 31 and 101; the typical (median) resident's is 48. The citywide figure (94) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5057.1%
- 50–10016.5%
- 100–20018.8%
- 200–4004.7%
- 400+2.8%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 2.1% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Tracy against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents
168 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Tracy; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Tracy has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mountain House (6 mi), is 68% below Tracy's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Tracy
What are the most common crimes in Tracy?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 414 a year), other larceny (about 353 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 317 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 35% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Tracy's figures add up its 58 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Tracy's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 43.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 102,643. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Tracy, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/tracy
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Mountain House6 mi30
- Lathrop9 mi85
- Manteca13 mi103
- French Camp13 mi246
- Discovery Bay15 mi54
- Ripon17 mi52
- Country Club17 mi109
- Livermore18 mi101