CrimeMetric

Crime in Orchard Mesa, Colorado

Major crime in Orchard Mesa is 42% below the U.S. rate per resident: 51% lower for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
58
42% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Colorado rate
down 12.1% in a year
Persons crimes
49
51% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Colorado rate
down 11.5% in a year
Property crimes
60
40% below the U.S. rate
58% below the Colorado rate
down 12.2% in a year
Social disorder
72
28% below the U.S. rate
25% below the Colorado rate
down 10.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Orchard Mesa

Crime by type

Every crime type in Orchard Mesa is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Orchard Mesa for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Orchard Mesa

Orchard Mesa is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 54; the middle half of residents live where it is between 50 and 73.

Map of Orchard Mesa, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5038.2%
  • 50–10061.8%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm76
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am45
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm53
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am39
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.1% in a year; across Colorado it fell 9.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.1%CO -9.1%-11.7%CO -11.0%
Persons crimes-11.5%CO -9.3%+1.5%CO +0.8%
Property crimes-12.2%CO -9.1%-14.1%CO -13.3%
Social disorder-10.0%CO -9.3%-5.9%CO -6.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Colorado as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Orchard Mesa against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

883 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Orchard Mesa; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Lawnside, NJ3,316329
Ajo, AZ3,320237
Eunice, NM3,319111
Ocilla, GA3,31894
Milan, NM3,31986
Orchard Mesa, CO3,31758

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Orchard Mesa has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Grand Junction (4 mi), is 2.7 times Orchard Mesa's rate.

Delta32 mi137
Montrose53 mi101
Fruitvale4 mi88
Clifton4 mi64
Orchard Mesa58
Redlands8 mi48
Fruita14 mi47

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Orchard Mesa

What are the most common crimes in Orchard Mesa?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 15 a year), theft from vehicle (about 6 a year) and burglary (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., vandalism stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Orchard Mesa's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Orchard Mesa has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,317. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Orchard Mesa, Colorado." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/co/orchard-mesa

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100