CrimeMetric

Crime in Welby, Colorado

Major crime in Welby is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.7 times for persons crimes and 1.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
19% above the Colorado rate
down 16.1% in a year
Persons crimes
168
1.7 times the U.S. rate
33% above the Colorado rate
up 1.9% in a year
Property crimes
165
1.7 times the U.S. rate
16% above the Colorado rate
down 19.3% in a year
Social disorder
128
28% above the U.S. rate
33% above the Colorado rate
down 12.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Welby

Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Welby for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Welby

The middle half of Welby residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 77 and 143; the typical (median) resident's is 94. The citywide figure (166) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Welby, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10066.4%
  • 100–20016.3%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+17.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm159
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am175
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm154
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am178
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.1% in a year; across Colorado it fell 9.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.1%CO -9.1%-6.4%CO -11.0%
Persons crimes+1.9%CO -9.3%+3.4%CO +0.8%
Property crimes-19.3%CO -9.1%-8.6%CO -13.3%
Social disorder-12.8%CO -9.3%-4.9%CO -6.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Colorado as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Welby against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

198 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Welby; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Kinston, NC18,741227
Welby, CO18,761166
Stafford, TX18,814164
Fairwood, WA18,79171

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Welby has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sherrelwood (2 mi), is 31% below Welby's rate.

Twin Lakes3 mi213
Derby3 mi173
Welby166
Berkley4 mi163
Thornton4 mi128
Northglenn4 mi118

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Welby

What are the most common crimes in Welby?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 140 a year), theft from vehicle (about 101 a year) and shoplifting (about 80 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Welby's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Welby has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 18,761. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Welby, Colorado." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/co/welby

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100