CrimeMetric

Crime in Middletown, Connecticut

Major crime in Middletown is 47% below the U.S. rate per resident: 82% lower for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
53
47% below the U.S. rate
21% below the Connecticut rate
down 11.5% in a year
Persons crimes
18
82% below the U.S. rate
43% below the Connecticut rate
down 14.3% in a year
Property crimes
61
40% below the U.S. rate
19% below the Connecticut rate
down 11.3% in a year
Social disorder
41
59% below the U.S. rate
30% below the Connecticut rate
down 13.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Middletown

Crime by type

Every crime type in Middletown is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Middletown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Middletown

The middle half of Middletown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 29 and 61; the typical (median) resident's is 38. The citywide figure (53) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Middletown, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5065.4%
  • 50–10026.8%
  • 100–2003.1%
  • 200–4004.7%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm74
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am32
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm60
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am31
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 11.5% in a year; across Connecticut it fell 8.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-11.5%CT -8.3%-12.2%CT -11.6%
Persons crimes-14.3%CT -12.3%-3.6%CT -4.5%
Property crimes-11.3%CT -7.9%-12.7%CT -12.3%
Social disorder-13.9%CT -10.5%-6.5%CT -5.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Connecticut as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Middletown against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

689 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middletown; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Roswell, NM49,322177
Mankato, MN49,601120
Los Banos, CA49,758107
Glendora, CA49,303101
Dublin, OH49,27859
Middletown, CT49,47553

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Middletown has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Portland (3 mi), is 48% below Middletown's rate.

New Britain10 mi126
Newington9 mi109
Meriden7 mi106
Middletown53
Portland3 mi27
Durham6 mi15

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Middletown

What are the most common crimes in Middletown?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 167 a year), shoplifting (about 98 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 88 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 33% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middletown's figures add up its 35 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Middletown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 49,475. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middletown, Connecticut." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ct/middletown

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100