CrimeMetric

Crime in Mystic, Connecticut

Major crime in Mystic is 33% below the U.S. rate per resident: 75% lower for persons crimes and 23% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 17.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
67
33% below the U.S. rate
about the Connecticut rate
down 17.3% in a year
Persons crimes
26
75% below the U.S. rate
19% below the Connecticut rate
down 9.3% in a year
Property crimes
77
23% below the U.S. rate
about the Connecticut rate
down 17.8% in a year
Social disorder
58
42% below the U.S. rate
about the Connecticut rate
down 16.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mystic

Crime by type

Other larceny stands out most, at 1.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mystic for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Mystic

Mystic is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 84; the middle half of residents live where it is between 60 and 84.

Map of Mystic, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5023.9%
  • 50–10076.1%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm93
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am36
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm96
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am33
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 17.3% in a year; across Connecticut it fell 8.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-17.3%CT -8.3%-13.5%CT -11.6%
Persons crimes-9.3%CT -12.3%-3.8%CT -4.5%
Property crimes-17.8%CT -7.9%-14.2%CT -12.3%
Social disorder-16.7%CT -10.5%-6.2%CT -5.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Connecticut as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mystic against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

999 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mystic; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mystic has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Long Hill (5 mi), is 8% below Mystic's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mystic

What are the most common crimes in Mystic?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 39 a year), shoplifting (about 8 a year) and burglary (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mystic's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mystic has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,061. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mystic, Connecticut." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ct/mystic

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100