Crime in Stafford, Connecticut
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Stafford at 85% below the U.S. rate per resident: 91% lower for persons crimes and 84% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.6% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Stafford. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 2.6 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.3 violent, 2.3 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Stafford is lower than 94% of the 104 other Connecticut places and 99% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Stafford's 9 census block groups for 11,854 residents. How Connecticut residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 86.3% and no reporting agency of their own for 13.7% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Stafford.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Stafford
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 10 and 20.
- 0–50100.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Stafford
Every crime type in Stafford is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 15.6% in a year; across Connecticut it fell 8.3%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Connecticut in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Stafford against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
2,469 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Stafford's, and 11 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Stafford's major-crime index is lower than 7 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Stafford Springs (1 mi), is within 15% of Stafford's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Stafford
Is Stafford safe?
Stafford's major-crime index is 15, 85% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 94% of the 104 other Connecticut places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 91% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 84% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Stafford?
The model expects about 31 major crimes a year in Stafford, about 2.6 per 1,000 residents, 85% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Stafford?
Expected major crimes in Stafford are down 15.6% from a year earlier; across Connecticut they're down 8.3%.
What are the most common crimes in Stafford?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 9 a year), shoplifting (about 6 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 5 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Stafford?
The model expects about 4 thefts from vehicles a year in Stafford, 89% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Stafford?
The model expects about 5 motor vehicle thefts a year in Stafford, 72% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Stafford safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 10 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 20 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Stafford higher than the Connecticut average?
Stafford's major-crime index is 15, 77% below the Connecticut rate per resident. Connecticut as a whole is 67, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Stafford compare with Stafford Springs?
Stafford Springs, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 16, within 15% of Stafford's rate per resident. Stafford's is 15.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Stafford's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Stafford has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 11,854. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Stafford, Connecticut." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ct/stafford
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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