Crime in Winchester, Connecticut
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Winchester at 58% below the U.S. rate per resident: 79% lower for persons crimes and 53% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.3% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Winchester. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 7.2 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.6 violent, 6.6 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Winchester is lower than 59% of the 104 other Connecticut places and 69% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Winchester's 13 census block groups for 10,344 residents. How Connecticut residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 86.3% and no reporting agency of their own for 13.7% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Winchester.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Winchester
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 31 and 44.
- 0–5087.1%
- 50–10012.9%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Winchester
Intimidation stands out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 8.3% in a year; across Connecticut it fell 8.3%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Connecticut in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Winchester against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,697 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Winchester's, and 350 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Winchester's major-crime index is higher than 3, lower than 3 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Winsted (1 mi), is about Winchester's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Winchester
Is Winchester safe?
Winchester's major-crime index is 42, 58% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 59% of the 104 other Connecticut places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 79% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 53% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Winchester?
The model expects about 74 major crimes a year in Winchester, about 7.2 per 1,000 residents, 58% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Winchester?
Expected major crimes in Winchester are down 8.3% from a year earlier; across Connecticut they're down 8.3%.
What are the most common crimes in Winchester?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 41 a year), theft from vehicle (about 10 a year) and shoplifting (about 8 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Winchester?
The model expects about 10 thefts from vehicles a year in Winchester, 63% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Winchester?
The model expects about 4 motor vehicle thefts a year in Winchester, 75% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Winchester safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 26 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 57 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Winchester higher than the Connecticut average?
Winchester's major-crime index is 42, 37% below the Connecticut rate per resident. Connecticut as a whole is 67, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Winchester compare with Winsted?
Winsted, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 40, about Winchester's rate per resident. Winchester's is 42.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Winchester's figures add up its 13 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Winchester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 10,344. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Winchester, Connecticut." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ct/winchester
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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