CrimeMetric

Crime in Lely, Florida

Major crime in Lely is 78% below the U.S. rate per resident: 80% lower for persons crimes and 78% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 21.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
22
78% below the U.S. rate
71% below the Florida rate
down 21.7% in a year
Persons crimes
20
80% below the U.S. rate
75% below the Florida rate
down 12.4% in a year
Property crimes
22
78% below the U.S. rate
70% below the Florida rate
down 23.3% in a year
Social disorder
34
66% below the U.S. rate
56% below the Florida rate
down 17.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lely

Crime by type

Every crime type in Lely is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lely for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Lely

Lely is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 17; the middle half of residents live where it is between 17 and 29.

Map of Lely, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm0
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm0
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 21.7% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-21.7%FL -7.8%-5.4%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-12.4%FL -1.4%+6.2%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-23.3%FL -9.3%-7.7%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-17.8%FL -3.5%+5.0%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lely against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,666 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lely; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Bamberg, SC4,061253
Carlyss, LA4,062231
Hominy, OK4,065115
Tice, FL4,06180
Lely, FL4,06622

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lely has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Naples Manor (1 mi), is about Lely's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lely

What are the most common crimes in Lely?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 6 a year), theft from vehicle (about 2 a year) and aggravated assault (about 2 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 46% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lely's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lely has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,066. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lely, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/lely

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100