CrimeMetric

Crime in Mary Esther, Florida

Major crime in Mary Esther is 31% below the U.S. rate per resident: 49% lower for persons crimes and 26% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
69
31% below the U.S. rate
7% below the Florida rate
down 7.3% in a year
Persons crimes
51
49% below the U.S. rate
38% below the Florida rate
down 5.3% in a year
Property crimes
74
26% below the U.S. rate
about the Florida rate
down 7.6% in a year
Social disorder
39
61% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Florida rate
down 6.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mary Esther

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 38% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mary Esther for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Mary Esther

Mary Esther is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 51; the middle half of residents live where it is between 27 and 105.

Map of Mary Esther, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5027.0%
  • 50–10026.9%
  • 100–20046.2%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm73
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am71
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm61
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am66
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.3% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.3%FL -7.8%-14.3%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-5.3%FL -1.4%-0.9%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-7.6%FL -9.3%-16.3%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-6.1%FL -3.5%-7.5%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mary Esther against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

698 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mary Esther; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Mary Esther, FL4,22869
Le Roy, IL4,22622

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mary Esther has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Fort Walton Beach (2 mi), is 50% above Mary Esther's rate.

Valparaiso11 mi108
Mary Esther69
Crestview23 mi50
Destin11 mi27
Navarre14 mi21

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mary Esther

What are the most common crimes in Mary Esther?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 19 a year), other larceny (about 13 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 38% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mary Esther's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mary Esther has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,228. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mary Esther, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/mary-esther

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100