CrimeMetric

Crime in South Bradenton, Florida

Major crime in South Bradenton is 33% above the U.S. rate per resident: 1.5 times for persons crimes and 28% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
133
33% above the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Florida rate
down 7.8% in a year
Persons crimes
154
1.5 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Florida rate
down 4.9% in a year
Property crimes
128
28% above the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Florida rate
down 8.5% in a year
Social disorder
117
17% above the U.S. rate
1.5 times the Florida rate
down 6.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in South Bradenton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across South Bradenton

The middle half of South Bradenton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 73 and 144; the typical (median) resident's is 102. The citywide figure (133) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of South Bradenton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10049.5%
  • 100–20036.1%
  • 200–4006.2%
  • 400+8.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm108
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am164
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm114
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am153
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.8% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.8%FL -7.8%+1.8%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-4.9%FL -1.4%+13.8%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-8.5%FL -9.3%-1.3%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-6.0%FL -3.5%+8.4%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

South Bradenton against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

176 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than South Bradenton; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Bridgeton, NJ29,099143
South Bradenton, FL29,197133
Burton, MI29,293132
Oak Park, MI29,175124

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

South Bradenton has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bradenton (2 mi), is 30% below South Bradenton's rate.

South Bradenton133
Palmetto4 mi109
Bradenton2 mi93
Whitfield4 mi73
Memphis6 mi63
Cortez5 mi45

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in South Bradenton

What are the most common crimes in South Bradenton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 192 a year), other larceny (about 160 a year) and aggravated assault (about 105 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. South Bradenton's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • South Bradenton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 20.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 29,197. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in South Bradenton, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/south-bradenton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100