CrimeMetric

Crime in The Villages, Florida

Major crime in The Villages is 76% below the U.S. rate per resident: 78% lower for persons crimes and 75% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 3.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
24
76% below the U.S. rate
67% below the Florida rate
up 3.4% in a year
Persons crimes
22
78% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Florida rate
up 7.1% in a year
Property crimes
25
75% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Florida rate
up 2.7% in a year
Social disorder
35
65% below the U.S. rate
55% below the Florida rate
up 5.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in The Villages

Crime by type

Every crime type in The Villages is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in The Villages for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across The Villages

The middle half of The Villages residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 12 and 21; the typical (median) resident's is 14. The citywide figure (24) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of The Villages, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5087.8%
  • 50–10011.4%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm26
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am23
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm26
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am21
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 3.4% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+3.4%FL -7.8%-1.8%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+7.1%FL -1.4%+14.8%FL +3.7%
Property crimes+2.7%FL -9.3%-5.0%FL -10.8%
Social disorder+5.1%FL -3.5%+5.1%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

The Villages against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

539 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than The Villages; the middle of the group is 91. The 9 nearest in population:

Hemet, CA95,843165
Champaign, IL92,918132
Bryan, TX95,641105
Norwalk, CT95,52168
Folsom, CA93,74766
Nashua, NH92,89256
Hoover, AL95,70949
The Villages, FL94,33024

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

The Villages has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Wildwood (5 mi), is 2.4 times The Villages's rate.

Belleview13 mi114
Leesburg10 mi110
Wildwood5 mi59
Tavares17 mi42
The Villages24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in The Villages

What are the most common crimes in The Villages?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 134 a year), shoplifting (about 99 a year) and aggravated assault (about 55 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 50% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. The Villages's figures add up its 39 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Published incident records inform the estimate for neighborhoods home to 9.4% of The Villages's residents; elsewhere it relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 15.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 94,330. Model updated Nov 1, 2026. Release 2026-2026-11-01

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in The Villages, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Nov 1, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/the-villages

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100