CrimeMetric

Crime in Upper Grand Lagoon, Florida

Major crime in Upper Grand Lagoon is 65% below the U.S. rate per resident: 63% lower for persons crimes and 65% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 1.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
35
65% below the U.S. rate
53% below the Florida rate
down 1.4% in a year
Persons crimes
37
63% below the U.S. rate
55% below the Florida rate
down 20.3% in a year
Property crimes
35
65% below the U.S. rate
52% below the Florida rate
up 4.3% in a year
Social disorder
56
44% below the U.S. rate
27% below the Florida rate
down 13.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Upper Grand Lagoon

Crime by type

Every crime type in Upper Grand Lagoon is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Upper Grand Lagoon for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Upper Grand Lagoon

The middle half of Upper Grand Lagoon residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 16 and 48; the typical (median) resident's is 21. The citywide figure (35) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Upper Grand Lagoon, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5078.7%
  • 50–10021.3%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm32
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am41
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm36
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am33
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 1.4% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-1.4%FL -7.8%-1.4%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-20.3%FL -1.4%+15.1%FL +3.7%
Property crimes+4.3%FL -9.3%-5.3%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-13.1%FL -3.5%+7.8%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Upper Grand Lagoon against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,857 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Upper Grand Lagoon; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Alamo, TX19,767200
Oregon, OH19,778182
Norwood, OH19,769181
Valinda, CA19,75469
Orange, TX19,69367
Upper Grand Lagoon, FL19,74335

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Upper Grand Lagoon has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lower Grand Lagoon (2 mi), is 1.8 times Upper Grand Lagoon's rate.

Callaway11 mi52
Bonifay42 mi50
Upper Grand Lagoon35

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Upper Grand Lagoon

What are the most common crimes in Upper Grand Lagoon?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 45 a year), shoplifting (about 25 a year) and aggravated assault (about 18 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 30% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Upper Grand Lagoon's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Upper Grand Lagoon has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 19,743. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Upper Grand Lagoon, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/upper-grand-lagoon

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100