CrimeMetric

Crime in Warm Mineral Springs, Florida

Major crime in Warm Mineral Springs is 65% below the U.S. rate per resident: 67% lower for persons crimes and 65% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
35
65% below the U.S. rate
53% below the Florida rate
down 18.9% in a year
Persons crimes
33
67% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Florida rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
35
65% below the U.S. rate
52% below the Florida rate
down 21.9% in a year
Social disorder
29
71% below the U.S. rate
62% below the Florida rate
down 9.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Warm Mineral Springs is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Warm Mineral Springs for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Warm Mineral Springs

The middle half of Warm Mineral Springs residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 70; the typical (median) resident's is 24. The citywide figure (35) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Warm Mineral Springs, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5074.0%
  • 50–10026.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm3
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am79
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm3
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am64
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 18.9% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-18.9%FL -7.8%-6.1%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-0.8%FL -1.4%+8.9%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-21.9%FL -9.3%-9.3%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-9.1%FL -3.5%+2.2%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Warm Mineral Springs against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,376 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Warm Mineral Springs; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Lakeport, CA4,487170
Warm Mineral Springs, FL4,48935
Singac, NJ4,48628

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Warm Mineral Springs has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, North Port (4 mi), is about Warm Mineral Springs's rate.

Cleveland19 mi82
Gulf Gate21 mi63
Grove City10 mi62
Englewood7 mi45
Laurel14 mi35
Warm Mineral Springs35

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Warm Mineral Springs

What are the most common crimes in Warm Mineral Springs?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 8 a year), theft from vehicle (about 5 a year) and aggravated assault (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: 46% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Warm Mineral Springs's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Warm Mineral Springs's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 26.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,489. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Warm Mineral Springs, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/warm-mineral-springs

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100