CrimeMetric

Crime in Zephyrhills South, Florida

Major crime in Zephyrhills South is 32% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 39% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
68
32% below the U.S. rate
8% below the Florida rate
down 2.6% in a year
Persons crimes
103
about the U.S. rate
27% above the Florida rate
down 11.3% in a year
Property crimes
61
39% below the U.S. rate
17% below the Florida rate
up 1.2% in a year
Social disorder
126
26% above the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Florida rate
down 7.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Zephyrhills South

Crime by type

Simple assault stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Zephyrhills South for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Zephyrhills South

The middle half of Zephyrhills South residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 56 and 67; the typical (median) resident's is 56. The citywide figure (68) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Zephyrhills South, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5019.9%
  • 50–10069.6%
  • 100–20010.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm59
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am81
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm56
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am80
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 2.6% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-2.6%FL -7.8%+4.4%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-11.3%FL -1.4%+16.8%FL +3.7%
Property crimes+1.2%FL -9.3%-0.3%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-7.0%FL -3.5%+9.8%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Zephyrhills South against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

987 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Zephyrhills South; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Zephyrhills South, FL6,28168
Yoakum, TX6,28042

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Zephyrhills South has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Zephyrhills West (2 mi), is 19% above Zephyrhills South's rate.

Dade City10 mi104
Plant City15 mi97
Zephyrhills South68
Kathleen11 mi30

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Zephyrhills South

What are the most common crimes in Zephyrhills South?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 29 a year), aggravated assault (about 17 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Zephyrhills South's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Zephyrhills South has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 6,281. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Zephyrhills South, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/zephyrhills-south

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100