CrimeMetric

Crime in Mount Carmel, Illinois

Major crime in Mount Carmel is 79% below the U.S. rate per resident: 62% lower for persons crimes and 83% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
21
79% below the U.S. rate
78% below the Illinois rate
down 7.7% in a year
Persons crimes
38
62% below the U.S. rate
45% below the Illinois rate
down 4.6% in a year
Property crimes
17
83% below the U.S. rate
83% below the Illinois rate
down 9.1% in a year
Social disorder
56
44% below the U.S. rate
48% below the Illinois rate
down 5.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mount Carmel

Crime by type

Every crime type in Mount Carmel is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mount Carmel for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Mount Carmel

The middle half of Mount Carmel residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 17 and 23; the typical (median) resident's is 23.

Map of Mount Carmel, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes and on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm22
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am19
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm20
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am22
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.7% in a year; across Illinois it fell 9.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.7%IL -9.6%-16.2%IL -14.2%
Persons crimes-4.6%IL -14.4%-4.6%IL -6.8%
Property crimes-9.1%IL -8.9%-21.9%IL -15.4%
Social disorder-5.2%IL -12.0%-9.5%IL -8.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Illinois as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mount Carmel against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

2,109 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mount Carmel; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Gonzales, TX6,403153
Steelton, PA6,406132
Solvay, NY6,413118
Hearne, TX6,40450
Paoli, PA6,38933
Mount Carmel, IL6,40121

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mount Carmel has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Albion (16 mi), is 1.7 times Mount Carmel's rate.

Fairfield32 mi108
Carmi32 mi100
Olney27 mi73
Albion16 mi35
Mount Carmel21

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mount Carmel

What are the most common crimes in Mount Carmel?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 6 a year), other larceny (about 5 a year) and burglary (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 22% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mount Carmel's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mount Carmel has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 6,401. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mount Carmel, Illinois." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/il/mount-carmel

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100