CrimeMetric

Crime in Rochester, Illinois

Major crime in Rochester is 64% below the U.S. rate per resident: 63% lower for persons crimes and 64% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
36
64% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Illinois rate
down 13.9% in a year
Persons crimes
37
63% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Illinois rate
down 8.9% in a year
Property crimes
36
64% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Illinois rate
down 14.9% in a year
Social disorder
53
47% below the U.S. rate
51% below the Illinois rate
down 10.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rochester

Crime by type

Every crime type in Rochester is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rochester for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Rochester

Rochester is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 49; the middle half of residents live where it is between 17 and 49.

Map of Rochester, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5081.6%
  • 50–10018.4%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm42
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am33
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm32
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.9% in a year; across Illinois it fell 9.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.9%IL -9.6%-13.0%IL -14.2%
Persons crimes-8.9%IL -14.4%+0.4%IL -6.8%
Property crimes-14.9%IL -8.9%-16.0%IL -15.4%
Social disorder-10.3%IL -12.0%-4.6%IL -8.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Illinois as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rochester against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,337 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rochester; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Holbrook, AZ4,988244
Carmi, IL4,993100
Diboll, TX4,99745
Rochester, IL4,99636

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rochester has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Springfield (8 mi), is 7.1 times Rochester's rate.

Lincoln29 mi129
Virden22 mi83
Auburn16 mi43
Chatham11 mi38
Rochester36
Sherman10 mi31
Pawnee11 mi26

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rochester

What are the most common crimes in Rochester?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 10 a year), theft from vehicle (about 6 a year) and burglary (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., vandalism stands out most: 18% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rochester's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rochester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,996. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rochester, Illinois." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/il/rochester

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100