CrimeMetric

Crime in Natchitoches, Louisiana

Major crime in Natchitoches is 2.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.6 times for persons crimes and 2.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
268
2.7 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Louisiana rate
down 7.9% in a year
Persons crimes
263
2.6 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Louisiana rate
down 3.9% in a year
Property crimes
269
2.7 times the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Louisiana rate
down 8.7% in a year
Social disorder
180
1.8 times the U.S. rate
35% above the Louisiana rate
down 5.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Natchitoches

Crime by type

Burglary stands out most, at 5.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Natchitoches for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Natchitoches

The middle half of Natchitoches residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 168 and 331; the typical (median) resident's is 215. The citywide figure (268) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Natchitoches, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5017.1%
  • 50–1007.6%
  • 100–2004.4%
  • 200–40055.8%
  • 400+15.1%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm286
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am257
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm241
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am270
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.9% in a year; across Louisiana it fell 7.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.9%LA -7.7%-20.2%LA -15.1%
Persons crimes-3.9%LA -3.7%-5.6%LA -3.8%
Property crimes-8.7%LA -8.7%-23.3%LA -18.1%
Social disorder-5.8%LA -5.8%-12.0%LA -10.1%

Change in expected crimes, with Louisiana as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Natchitoches against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

39 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Natchitoches; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Opa-locka, FL15,992282
Natchitoches, LA15,979268
Dyersburg, TN16,014261
Moultrie, GA16,025193
Adelphi, MD15,96897
Hidalgo, TX15,98471
Dallas, GA15,95945

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Natchitoches has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Many (25 mi), is 87% below Natchitoches's rate.

Alexandria49 mi426
Natchitoches268
Winnfield29 mi231
Pineville49 mi138
Leesville43 mi83
Arcadia57 mi55
Mansfield41 mi53
Many25 mi34
Jonesboro39 mi27

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Natchitoches

What are the most common crimes in Natchitoches?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 342 a year), burglary (about 136 a year) and aggravated assault (about 110 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 5.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Natchitoches's figures add up its 16 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Natchitoches's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 19.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,979. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Natchitoches, Louisiana." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/la/natchitoches

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100