CrimeMetric

Crime in Ayer, Massachusetts

Major crime in Ayer is 45% below the U.S. rate per resident: 22% lower for persons crimes and 51% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
55
45% below the U.S. rate
26% below the Massachusetts rate
down 7.4% in a year
Persons crimes
79
22% below the U.S. rate
19% below the Massachusetts rate
down 3.7% in a year
Property crimes
50
51% below the U.S. rate
28% below the Massachusetts rate
down 8.6% in a year
Social disorder
66
34% below the U.S. rate
about the Massachusetts rate
down 5.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Ayer

Crime by type

No crime type in Ayer is more than 10% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Ayer for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Ayer

Ayer is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 42; the middle half of residents live where it is between 42 and 102.

Map of Ayer, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5073.7%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20026.3%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm67
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am42
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm61
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am41
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.4% in a year; across Massachusetts it fell 5.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.4%MA -5.7%-5.1%MA -11.5%
Persons crimes-3.7%MA +0.2%+6.3%MA -0.8%
Property crimes-8.6%MA -7.4%-9.1%MA -14.9%
Social disorder-5.3%MA -1.6%+2.5%MA -4.6%

Change in expected crimes, with Massachusetts as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Ayer against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

945 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Ayer; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Elkin, NC3,750172
Burns, OR3,75677
Ayer, MA3,75355
Amery, WI3,75828
Salmon, ID3,75719

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Ayer has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Leominster (9 mi), is 2.0 times Ayer's rate.

Fitchburg11 mi113
Leominster9 mi107
Lowell15 mi98
Nashua, NH14 mi56
Ayer55
Maynard11 mi47
Hudson12 mi47

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Ayer

What are the most common crimes in Ayer?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 14 a year), aggravated assault (about 8 a year) and shoplifting (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 7% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Ayer's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Ayer has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,753. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Ayer, Massachusetts." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ma/ayer

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100