Crime in Leicester, Massachusetts
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Leicester at 40% below the U.S. rate per resident: 36% lower for persons crimes and 41% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.5% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Leicester. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 10.3 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (2.0 violent, 8.3 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Leicester is higher than 48% of the 193 other Massachusetts places and lower than 49% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Leicester's 8 census block groups for 11,503 residents. How Massachusetts residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 98.4%, summary counts only for 0.2% and no reporting agency of their own for 1.3% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Leicester.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Leicester
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 30 and 96.
- 0–5056.9%
- 50–10018.8%
- 100–20024.2%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Leicester
Shoplifting stands out most, at 43% above the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekend daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.5% in a year; across Massachusetts it fell 5.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Massachusetts in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Leicester against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,207 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Leicester's, and 369 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Leicester's major-crime index is higher than 3, lower than 3 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Town of Spencer (4 mi), is 66% below Leicester's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Leicester
Is Leicester safe?
Leicester's major-crime index is 60, 40% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 48% of the 193 other Massachusetts places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 36% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 41% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Leicester?
The model expects about 119 major crimes a year in Leicester, about 10.3 per 1,000 residents, 40% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Leicester?
Expected major crimes in Leicester are down 7.5% from a year earlier; across Massachusetts they're down 5.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Leicester?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 52 a year), other larceny (about 26 a year) and aggravated assault (about 19 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Leicester?
The model expects about 3 thefts from vehicles a year in Leicester, 91% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Leicester?
The model expects about 6 motor vehicle thefts a year in Leicester, 65% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Leicester safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 44 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 78 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Leicester higher than the Massachusetts average?
Leicester's major-crime index is 60, 18% below the Massachusetts rate per resident. Massachusetts as a whole is 74, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Leicester compare with Town of Spencer?
Town of Spencer, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 21, 66% below Leicester's rate per resident. Leicester's is 60.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Leicester's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Leicester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 11,503. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Leicester, Massachusetts." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ma/leicester
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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