CrimeMetric

Crime in Arnold, Maryland

Major crime in Arnold is 49% below the U.S. rate per resident: 52% lower for persons crimes and 48% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
51
49% below the U.S. rate
56% below the Maryland rate
down 13.3% in a year
Persons crimes
48
52% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Maryland rate
down 12.1% in a year
Property crimes
52
48% below the U.S. rate
56% below the Maryland rate
down 13.6% in a year
Social disorder
51
49% below the U.S. rate
44% below the Maryland rate
down 12.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Arnold

Crime by type

Every crime type in Arnold is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Arnold for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Arnold

The middle half of Arnold residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 26 and 69; the typical (median) resident's is 43. The citywide figure (51) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Arnold, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5061.6%
  • 50–10034.9%
  • 100–2003.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm52
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am52
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm50
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am49
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.3% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.3%MD -10.0%-12.0%MD -12.7%
Persons crimes-12.1%MD -9.9%-0.7%MD -5.4%
Property crimes-13.6%MD -10.0%-14.2%MD -14.1%
Social disorder-12.2%MD -7.6%-4.3%MD -6.6%

Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Arnold against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,457 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Arnold; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Paris, TX24,733150
Glassboro, NJ24,848143
Mandan, ND24,790117
Sedalia, MO24,711108
Norco, CA24,75085
Farragut, TN24,78165
Arnold, MD24,78551
Tavares, FL24,73043
Corinth, TX24,79735

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Arnold has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Cape St. Claire (2 mi), is about Arnold's rate.

Parole5 mi278
Annapolis6 mi140
Pasadena8 mi96
Arnold51

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Arnold

What are the most common crimes in Arnold?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 54 a year), shoplifting (about 43 a year) and other larceny (about 43 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 17% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Arnold's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Arnold has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 82.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 24,785. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Arnold, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/arnold

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100