CrimeMetric

Crime in Crofton, Maryland

Major crime in Crofton is 50% below the U.S. rate per resident: 58% lower for persons crimes and 49% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
50
50% below the U.S. rate
57% below the Maryland rate
down 13.5% in a year
Persons crimes
42
58% below the U.S. rate
60% below the Maryland rate
down 12.3% in a year
Property crimes
52
49% below the U.S. rate
57% below the Maryland rate
down 13.7% in a year
Social disorder
45
55% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Maryland rate
down 12.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Crofton

Crime by type

Every crime type in Crofton is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Crofton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Crofton

The middle half of Crofton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 39; the typical (median) resident's is 29. The citywide figure (50) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Crofton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5078.9%
  • 50–1005.2%
  • 100–20015.9%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm50
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm48
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am48
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.5% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.5%MD -10.0%-11.8%MD -12.7%
Persons crimes-12.3%MD -9.9%-0.4%MD -5.4%
Property crimes-13.7%MD -10.0%-13.8%MD -14.1%
Social disorder-12.2%MD -7.6%-4.4%MD -6.6%

Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Crofton against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

722 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Crofton; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Central, LA30,009349
Massillon, OH30,011111
Fremont, NE29,96891
Liberty, MO30,01061
Crofton, MD29,93150
Daphne, AL29,83642
Melrose, MA29,82939
Franklin, IN29,95038
Ramsey, MN30,02626

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Crofton has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Odenton (4 mi), is 1.9 times Crofton's rate.

Parole7 mi278
Bowie5 mi104
Severn8 mi102
Odenton4 mi93
Crofton50
Fairwood6 mi38

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Crofton

What are the most common crimes in Crofton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 66 a year), shoplifting (about 54 a year) and other larceny (about 49 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 17% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Crofton's figures add up its 14 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Crofton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 64.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 29,931. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Crofton, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/crofton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100