CrimeMetric

Crime in Lake Arbor, Maryland

Major crime in Lake Arbor is 29% above the U.S. rate per resident: 44% lower for persons crimes and 45% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
129
29% above the U.S. rate
11% above the Maryland rate
down 18.5% in a year
Persons crimes
56
44% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Maryland rate
down 22.5% in a year
Property crimes
145
45% above the U.S. rate
22% above the Maryland rate
down 18.1% in a year
Social disorder
57
43% below the U.S. rate
37% below the Maryland rate
down 19.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lake Arbor

Crime by type

Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 4.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lake Arbor for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lake Arbor

The middle half of Lake Arbor residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 117; the typical (median) resident's is 78. The citywide figure (129) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Lake Arbor, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5028.1%
  • 50–10035.1%
  • 100–20012.6%
  • 200–40010.8%
  • 400+13.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm157
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am105
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm144
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am89
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 18.5% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-18.5%MD -10.0%-9.9%MD -12.7%
Persons crimes-22.5%MD -9.9%-2.7%MD -5.4%
Property crimes-18.1%MD -10.0%-10.5%MD -14.1%
Social disorder-19.3%MD -7.6%-9.7%MD -6.6%

Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lake Arbor against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

394 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Arbor; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Lake Arbor, MD13,133129
Ottawa, KS13,12873
Mahomet, IL13,11724

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lake Arbor has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mitchellville (2 mi), is 26% below Lake Arbor's rate.

Landover3 mi149
Lake Arbor129
Lanham4 mi127
Kettering2 mi87
Fairwood4 mi38

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lake Arbor

What are the most common crimes in Lake Arbor?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 110 a year), motor vehicle theft (about 89 a year) and other larceny (about 32 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 4.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Arbor's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lake Arbor's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 36.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 13,133. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Arbor, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/lake-arbor

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100