Crime in Commerce, Michigan
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Commerce at 67% below the U.S. rate per resident: 83% lower for persons crimes and 64% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 3.9% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Commerce. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 5.6 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.5 violent, 5.1 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Commerce is lower than 80% of the 343 other Michigan places and 81% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Commerce's 32 census block groups for 45,448 residents. How Michigan residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 97.5%, summary counts only for 0.6% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 1.9% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Commerce.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Commerce
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 8 and 23.
- 0–5090.9%
- 50–1004.9%
- 100–2004.2%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Commerce
Every crime type in Commerce is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekend daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 3.9% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Michigan in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Commerce against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
948 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Commerce's, and 105 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Commerce's major-crime index is higher than 2, lower than 5 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Wolverine Lake (1 mi), is 41% below Commerce's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Commerce
Is Commerce safe?
Commerce's major-crime index is 33, 67% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 80% of the 343 other Michigan places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 83% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 64% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Commerce?
The model expects about 254 major crimes a year in Commerce, about 5.6 per 1,000 residents, 67% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Commerce?
Expected major crimes in Commerce are down 3.9% from a year earlier; across Michigan they're down 6.1%.
What are the most common crimes in Commerce?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 138 a year), other larceny (about 50 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 21 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Commerce?
The model expects about 21 thefts from vehicles a year in Commerce, 83% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Commerce?
The model expects about 11 motor vehicle thefts a year in Commerce, 85% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Commerce safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 26 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 44 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Commerce higher than the Michigan average?
Commerce's major-crime index is 33, 65% below the Michigan rate per resident. Michigan as a whole is 93, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Commerce compare with Wolverine Lake?
Wolverine Lake, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 19, 41% below Commerce's rate per resident. Commerce's is 33.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Commerce's figures add up its 32 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Commerce has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 45,448. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Commerce, Michigan." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/mi/commerce
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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