Crime in East Bay, Michigan
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in East Bay at 72% below the U.S. rate per resident: 32% lower for persons crimes and 80% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving East Bay. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 4.9 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (2.1 violent, 2.8 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, East Bay is lower than 87% of the 343 other Michigan places and 87% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across East Bay's 8 census block groups for 12,201 residents. How Michigan residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 97.5%, summary counts only for 0.6% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 1.9% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside East Bay.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across East Bay
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 18 and 32.
- 0–5091.6%
- 50–1008.4%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in East Bay
Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.7 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Michigan in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
East Bay against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
2,140 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above East Bay's, and 206 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
East Bay's major-crime index is lower than 7 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Garfield (6 mi), is 2.1 times East Bay's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in East Bay
Is East Bay safe?
East Bay's major-crime index is 28, 72% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 87% of the 343 other Michigan places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 32% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 80% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in East Bay?
The model expects about 60 major crimes a year in East Bay, about 4.9 per 1,000 residents, 72% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in East Bay?
Expected major crimes in East Bay are down 7.2% from a year earlier; across Michigan they're down 6.1%.
What are the most common crimes in East Bay?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are aggravated assault (about 19 a year), other larceny (about 16 a year) and shoplifting (about 7 a year).
Are car break-ins common in East Bay?
The model expects about 4 thefts from vehicles a year in East Bay, 88% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in East Bay?
The model expects about 3 motor vehicle thefts a year in East Bay, 87% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is East Bay safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 22 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 36 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in East Bay higher than the Michigan average?
East Bay's major-crime index is 28, 69% below the Michigan rate per resident. Michigan as a whole is 93, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in East Bay compare with Garfield?
Garfield, 6 miles away, has a major-crime index of 59, 2.1 times East Bay's rate per resident. East Bay's is 28.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. East Bay's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- East Bay has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 12,201. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in East Bay, Michigan." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/mi/east-bay
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