CrimeMetric

Crime in Apple Valley, Minnesota

Major crime in Apple Valley is about the U.S. rate per resident: 40% lower for persons crimes and 11% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 7.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
102
about the U.S. rate
6% above the Minnesota rate
up 7.7% in a year
Persons crimes
60
40% below the U.S. rate
19% below the Minnesota rate
down 4.7% in a year
Property crimes
111
11% above the U.S. rate
10% above the Minnesota rate
up 9.4% in a year
Social disorder
55
46% below the U.S. rate
21% below the Minnesota rate
up 1.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Apple Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Apple Valley

The middle half of Apple Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 26 and 68; the typical (median) resident's is 38. The citywide figure (102) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Apple Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5069.2%
  • 50–10018.9%
  • 100–2006.0%
  • 200–4005.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm132
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am72
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm115
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am69
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 7.7% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+7.7%MN -1.8%-15.4%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes-4.7%MN -1.1%-2.9%MN -2.7%
Property crimes+9.4%MN -1.9%-16.9%MN -14.8%
Social disorder+1.1%MN -0.6%-9.2%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Apple Valley against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

224 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Apple Valley; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Apple Valley, MN55,300102
Berwyn, IL55,16097
Edina, MN55,43286
Ocoee, FL55,15276
Smyrna, GA55,23259
Yucaipa, CA55,22649

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Apple Valley has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Burnsville (4 mi), is 7% below Apple Valley's rate.

Richfield10 mi136
Apple Valley102
Eagan5 mi87
Savage8 mi47
Lakeville4 mi35
Rosemount4 mi30

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Apple Valley

What are the most common crimes in Apple Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 466 a year), other larceny (about 233 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 86 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Apple Valley's figures add up its 41 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Apple Valley's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 21.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 55,300. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Apple Valley, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/apple-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100