CrimeMetric

Crime in Brainerd, Minnesota

Major crime in Brainerd is about the U.S. rate per resident: 10% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
100
about the U.S. rate
about the Minnesota rate
down 7.6% in a year
Persons crimes
90
10% below the U.S. rate
23% above the Minnesota rate
down 5.7% in a year
Property crimes
102
about the U.S. rate
about the Minnesota rate
down 7.9% in a year
Social disorder
191
1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.8 times the Minnesota rate
down 5.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 2.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Brainerd for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Brainerd

The middle half of Brainerd residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 35 and 140; the typical (median) resident's is 70. The citywide figure (100) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Brainerd, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5027.7%
  • 50–10030.1%
  • 100–20026.8%
  • 200–40015.4%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm125
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am76
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm103
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am76
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.6%MN -1.8%-13.5%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes-5.7%MN -1.1%-1.0%MN -2.7%
Property crimes-7.9%MN -1.9%-16.0%MN -14.8%
Social disorder-5.7%MN -0.6%-6.6%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Brainerd against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

678 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Brainerd; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Corinth, MS14,845116
Zebulon, NC14,792111
Palmetto, FL14,791109
Brainerd, MN14,818100
Kenmore, NY14,78784

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Brainerd has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Baxter (4 mi), is about Brainerd's rate.

Baxter4 mi101
Brainerd100
Wadena45 mi73
Aitkin25 mi70
Staples30 mi65
Sartell51 mi55

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Brainerd

What are the most common crimes in Brainerd?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 89 a year), shoplifting (about 72 a year) and aggravated assault (about 26 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 2.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Brainerd's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Brainerd has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 6.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 14,818. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Brainerd, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/brainerd

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100