CrimeMetric

Crime in Dayton, Minnesota

Major crime in Dayton is 75% below the U.S. rate per resident: 85% lower for persons crimes and 72% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
25
75% below the U.S. rate
74% below the Minnesota rate
down 7.9% in a year
Persons crimes
15
85% below the U.S. rate
80% below the Minnesota rate
down 6.4% in a year
Property crimes
28
72% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Minnesota rate
down 8.0% in a year
Social disorder
19
81% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Minnesota rate
down 7.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Dayton

Crime by type

Every crime type in Dayton is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Dayton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Dayton

The middle half of Dayton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 22; the typical (median) resident's is 22.

Map of Dayton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5088.6%
  • 50–10011.4%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm38
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am16
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm21
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am13
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.9% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.9%MN -1.8%-1.4%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes-6.4%MN -1.1%+11.1%MN -2.7%
Property crimes-8.0%MN -1.9%-2.9%MN -14.8%
Social disorder-7.0%MN -0.6%+6.8%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Dayton against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,060 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Dayton; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Dayton has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Rogers (4 mi), is 3.5 times Dayton's rate.

Rogers4 mi89
Anoka4 mi62
Champlin4 mi55
Elk River10 mi46
Ramsey4 mi26
Dayton25

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Dayton

What are the most common crimes in Dayton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 21 a year), theft from vehicle (about 11 a year) and shoplifting (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 59% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Dayton's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Dayton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 11,580. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Dayton, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/dayton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100