CrimeMetric

Crime in Forest Lake, Minnesota

Major crime in Forest Lake is 32% below the U.S. rate per resident: 76% lower for persons crimes and 22% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
68
32% below the U.S. rate
29% below the Minnesota rate
down 8.1% in a year
Persons crimes
24
76% below the U.S. rate
67% below the Minnesota rate
down 5.9% in a year
Property crimes
78
22% below the U.S. rate
23% below the Minnesota rate
down 8.3% in a year
Social disorder
50
50% below the U.S. rate
28% below the Minnesota rate
down 6.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Forest Lake

Crime by type

Every crime type in Forest Lake is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Forest Lake for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Forest Lake

The middle half of Forest Lake residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 17 and 86; the typical (median) resident's is 40. The citywide figure (68) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Forest Lake, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5052.9%
  • 50–10031.8%
  • 100–2009.8%
  • 200–4005.5%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm99
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am41
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm73
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am35
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.1% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.1%MN -1.8%-14.5%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes-5.9%MN -1.1%-0.7%MN -2.7%
Property crimes-8.3%MN -1.9%-15.5%MN -14.8%
Social disorder-6.1%MN -0.6%-7.2%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Forest Lake against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,149 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Forest Lake; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Del City, OK20,885248
New Hope, MN20,860100
Forest Lake, MN20,86868
Hewitt, TX20,86743

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Forest Lake has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Wyoming (5 mi), is 63% below Forest Lake's rate.

Forest Lake68
Lindstrom10 mi60
Columbus5 mi36
Scandia7 mi30
Wyoming5 mi25
Hugo7 mi21

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Forest Lake

What are the most common crimes in Forest Lake?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 89 a year), shoplifting (about 63 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 39 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Forest Lake's figures add up its 16 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Forest Lake's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 20,868. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Forest Lake, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/forest-lake

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100