Crime in Lake Elmo, Minnesota
Major crime in Lake Elmo is 75% below the U.S. rate per resident: 84% lower for persons crimes and 73% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.9% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
Check an address in Lake Elmo
Every crime type in Lake Elmo is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Lake Elmo for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Lake Elmo
The middle half of Lake Elmo residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 16 and 30; the typical (median) resident's is 28.
- 0–5093.3%
- 50–1006.7%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 2.9% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Lake Elmo against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
2,049 of the 2,146 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Elmo; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Lake Elmo has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Oakdale (3 mi), is 3.4 times Lake Elmo's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Lake Elmo
What are the most common crimes in Lake Elmo?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 26 a year), theft from vehicle (about 16 a year) and burglary (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 40% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Elmo's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lake Elmo's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 14,489. Model updated Nov 1, 2026. Release 2026-2026-11-01
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Elmo, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Nov 1, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/lake-elmo
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Oakdale3 mi87
- Oak Park Heights5 mi127
- North St. Paul5 mi139
- Stillwater6 mi50
- Woodbury6 mi73
- Mahtomedi6 mi34
- Grant6 mi35
- Maplewood6 mi154