Crime in Prior Lake, Minnesota
Major crime in Prior Lake is 38% below the U.S. rate per resident: 65% lower for persons crimes and 32% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 4.1% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Other larceny stands out most, at 23% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Prior Lake for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Prior Lake
The middle half of Prior Lake residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 52; the typical (median) resident's is 33. The citywide figure (62) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5069.5%
- 50–10023.2%
- 100–2004.7%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+2.6%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Lowest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 4.1% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Prior Lake against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
605 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Prior Lake; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Prior Lake has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Savage (4 mi), is 24% below Prior Lake's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Prior Lake
What are the most common crimes in Prior Lake?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 180 a year), theft from vehicle (about 51 a year) and aggravated assault (about 22 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 23% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Prior Lake's figures add up its 18 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Prior Lake's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 3.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 29,475. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Prior Lake, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/prior-lake
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Savage4 mi47
- Shakopee5 mi68
- Burnsville8 mi95
- Eden Prairie9 mi74
- Bloomington10 mi197
- Lakeville10 mi35
- Jordan11 mi27
- Chaska11 mi35