Crime in Willmar, Minnesota
Major crime in Willmar is 17% below the U.S. rate per resident: 8% higher for persons crimes and 22% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.5% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Willmar for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Willmar
The middle half of Willmar residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 39 and 85; the typical (median) resident's is 46. The citywide figure (83) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5051.5%
- 50–10025.9%
- 100–20018.9%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+3.7%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.5% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Willmar against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
910 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Willmar; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Willmar has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Litchfield (26 mi), is 28% below Willmar's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Willmar
What are the most common crimes in Willmar?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 103 a year), other larceny (about 69 a year) and aggravated assault (about 59 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Willmar's figures add up its 15 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Willmar has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 7.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 22,758. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Willmar, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/willmar
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Litchfield26 mi60
- Granite Falls31 mi31
- Montevideo35 mi26
- Hutchinson37 mi73
- Redwood Falls40 mi72
- Glenwood40 mi36
- Sauk Centre43 mi41
- St. Joseph47 mi35