CrimeMetric

Crime in Carrollton, Missouri

Major crime in Carrollton is 45% below the U.S. rate per resident: 40% lower for persons crimes and 47% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
55
45% below the U.S. rate
50% below the Missouri rate
down 7.9% in a year
Persons crimes
60
40% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Missouri rate
down 5.4% in a year
Property crimes
54
47% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Missouri rate
down 8.5% in a year
Social disorder
75
25% below the U.S. rate
29% below the Missouri rate
down 5.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Carrollton

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 27% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Carrollton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Carrollton

Carrollton is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 67; the middle half of residents live where it is between 48 and 71.

Map of Carrollton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5042.0%
  • 50–10058.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm61
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am49
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm51
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am53
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.9% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.9%MO -11.3%-13.9%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-5.4%MO -4.6%-2.6%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-8.5%MO -13.0%-16.8%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-5.5%MO -6.5%-6.4%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Carrollton against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

945 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carrollton; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Lockland, OH3,528133
Lyons, KS3,52574
Carrollton, MO3,53255
Denair, CA3,54150

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Carrollton has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Higginsville (22 mi), is 36% below Carrollton's rate.

Slater25 mi112
Brookfield37 mi80
Richmond26 mi69
Lexington24 mi58
Carrollton55
Marshall23 mi42
Odessa35 mi24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Carrollton

What are the most common crimes in Carrollton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 15 a year), aggravated assault (about 4 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 27% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carrollton's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Carrollton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,532. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carrollton, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/carrollton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100